Kholoud Hussein
Greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) is no longer episodic, it’s compounding. In the first half of 2025 alone, investors announced 203 greenfield projects worth $9.34 billion, a 30% year-on-year jump in project count that underscores Saudi Arabia’s evolving appeal as a platform for new capacity, plants, data centers, and service hubs rather than mere capital transfers or acquisitions. Riyadh leads by a wide margin—100 projects and $2.3 billion—with Dammam (21 projects; $1.28 billion) and Jeddah (13 projects; $1.22 billion) emerging as secondary magnets in a multi-city investment map that policy planners have sought to build since Vision 2030’s launch.
Why greenfield—and why now?
Three policy levers have altered investor behavior. First, regulatory reforms—commercial courts, a modernized civil transactions law, and faster company formation—are gradually reducing transaction friction and legal uncertainty. The Regional Headquarters (RHQ) program adds a powerful demand-side nudge: multinationals that want to win government business now need a Saudi RHQ, helping seed executive talent, procurement, and shared services in the Kingdom. As Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih noted earlier this year, nearly 600 global firms have committed to an RHQ in Saudi Arabia, well ahead of the original 2030 target.
Second, the Premium Residency framework—expanded in 2024–2025—simplifies long-term settlement for skilled professionals, investors, and founders, including dedicated tracks for entrepreneurs and investors. That matters in greenfield projects where expatriate leadership and specialist technicians must relocate to design, commission, and operate new assets. Applications crossed 40,000 between January 2024 and July 2025, a leading indicator of human-capital inflows tied to investment.
Third, sectoral strategy has become more “bankable.” Industrial policy in advanced manufacturing, logistics, clean energy, and digital infrastructure is translating into investible pipelines. The Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources reports 1,346 new industrial licenses in 2024, channeling SR50 billion ($13.3bn) of fresh commitments and bringing private investment in industrial cities to SR1.9 trillion—a base that foreign manufacturers can plug into for suppliers, utilities, and land.
The city map: Riyadh ascendant, co-anchors emerge
Riyadh’s dominance in greenfield projects is not accidental. The capital now bundles market access, procurement proximity, and talent density. The once-quiet King Abdullah Financial District (KAFD) is filling with global names—HSBC, Accenture, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley—turning the skyline into substance and giving CFOs and general counsels a neighborhood to recruit from. As one recent analysis put it, regulatory reforms have improved the legal framework even as investors continue to ask for greater clarity across agencies.
But the geography is widening. Dammam channels industrial and energy logistics through the Eastern Province’s ports and suppliers, while Jeddah—with its Red Sea connectivity—pulls in logistics, tourism, and consumer projects. The distribution of project counts and capital across these cities—Riyadh 100; Dammam 21; Jeddah 13—confirms a multi-node investment story rather than a single-city bet.
Greenfield meets startups
The most important complement to greenfield FDI is the startup engine that services, localizes, and extends foreign projects. Saudi venture activity rebounded sharply in 2025: by mid-year, the Kingdom posted a 116% YoY jump in capital deployed and a 31% rise in deal count, matching the UAE for the first time in H1 deal volume. This matters because international manufacturers and digital operators increasingly source innovation from local SaaS vendors, AI integrators, and robotics startups orbiting their plants and offices.
Policy alignment is visible in the Entrepreneur License and the RHQ rules. The entrepreneur track allows qualified foreign founders to set up 100% foreign-owned startups—often as service providers to greenfield entrants—while the RHQ push draws corporate venture arms and innovation budgets into Riyadh. By mid-2025, 550 foreign startups had been licensed under the entrepreneur scheme—up 118% year-on-year—with 364 incubators and accelerators licensed nationwide to help scale them. A founder of a European industrial-AI firm now opening in Dammam put it succinctly at a private investor roundtable: “Our Saudi entity exists because our customers’ Saudi plants now exist”—a network effect where greenfield begets startup formation and vice versa.
Where the projects are going
The sector distribution of H1-2025 greenfield announcements tracks three structural themes:
1) Advanced industry and clean tech. With new industrial licenses and utility corridors in place, manufacturers are building for the GCC and wider MENAT region. Chinese-Saudi ties have deepened beyond crude: from 2021 to Oct-2024, China became the top source of greenfield FDI into Saudi Arabia—$21.6 billion—mostly in clean technologies. Expect more battery materials, solar components, and grid-adjacent electronics as localization ratios rise.
2) Digital infrastructure and AI services. RHQ mandates bring CIOs and CTOs closer to Saudi demand centers, driving data center builds, cloud points of presence, and AI integration work. The transition of KAFD from a real-estate project to a functioning financial and advisory hub puts more dealmakers and systems integrators within walking distance—important for multi-year transformation programs.
3) Logistics and tourism. Red Sea assets and the Kingdom’s burgeoning visitor economy are catalyzing warehousing, freight forwarding, and destination infrastructure. Greenfield FDI is attractive in these sub-sectors because global operators can standardize formats and import operating playbooks while training local teams to scale.
Interactions with executives reveal a pattern. One European mobility CEO whose firm is commissioning a Riyadh assembly facility noted privately that the “RHQ rule changed our cost-benefit analysis—being here is now the default”, adding that proximity to large government buyers reduced bid risk. That sentiment echoes broader coverage that the RHQ rule has become a decisive factor in competitive positioning for contracts.
A US manufacturing executive added that talent visas and premium residency eased the relocation of commissioning engineers—“We used to rotate teams; now we can plant them”—crediting the expanded residency categories for compressing timelines. The sustained influx of premium residency applicants in 2024–2025 supports that operational angle.
Startups as force multipliers
For foreign investors, the Saudi startup scene is a force multiplier, not a sideshow. Corporate innovation managers are now writing local checks to automate back-office functions, deploy industrial IoT, and stand up Arabic-first AI copilots. The rebound in Saudi venture funding in H1 2025 (+116% YoY) provides foreign companies with a denser supplier ecosystem for software and services, reducing vendor concentration risk and enabling pilots to scale faster.
Policy has synchronized on the supply side too. The Entrepreneur License enables 100% foreign-owned tech startups with incubator endorsements or IP/patent credentials—critical for specialist vendors that prefer full control over code and export rights. As that cohort scales—550 foreign startups licensed by mid-2025—large greenfield investors can source more of their localization roadmaps domestically.
Headwinds
Investors are not naïve about risks. Execution complexity on giga-projects, uneven agency coordination, and cost inflation remain top of mind. Reporting in late 2024 and 2025 highlighted delays and scope resets at mega-developments, prompting some boardrooms to stage capital in tranches tied to off-take, permitting, or infrastructure milestones. Officials have framed signature projects like NEOM as “generational investments,” signaling tolerance for long runways while trying to avoid over-promising short-term outcomes.
At the same time, ministers have emphasized macro resilience and non-oil momentum to reassure investors during bouts of geopolitical noise or commodity volatility. In late-2024 remarks, the investment minister argued that non-oil activity has maintained a 4–5% trend since 2017, even as the IMF adjusted near-term growth forecasts due to oil market management. That narrative—stability plus reform—is part of why greenfield decisions are continuing rather than pausing.
What to expect next
Deal flow broadens beyond Riyadh. Riyadh will remain the anchor, but Dammam and Jeddah should capture rising shares in energy-adjacent manufacturing and logistics/tourism, respectively. The H1-2025 distribution offers a baseline for the next two years as supply chains are rerouted closer to demand and ports.
Premium Residency and RHQ continue to clip friction. With tens of thousands of residency applications and ~600 RHQs already committed, the soft infrastructure for talent mobility and corporate governance is maturing. Each additional RHQ is effectively a funnel for supplier mandates and local procurement that greenfield operators can tap.
Startups become embedded vendors. The 118% annual jump in licensed foreign startups and the 116% YoY leap in H1-2025 venture funding are not cosmetic. They are the early signs of a procurement market where Saudi-based SaaS, AI, and Industry 4.0 firms are preferred partners for localization and Arabic-first adaptation. Expect corporate venture capital and joint labs to proliferate inside KAFD and nearby innovation districts.
Greenfield spreads into services. Not all greenfield is smokestacks. Banks, insurers, and professional services are standing up operating centers and shared-services hubs to serve the GCC, anchored by RHQ mandates and deepening local client rosters. The visible “re-tenanting” of KAFD is one barometer of that pivot.
A founder’s lens
For founders—Saudi and foreign—the opportunity is unusually bidirectional. Greenfield projects create demand-side certainty for B2B startups: quality assurance, maintenance, workflow automation, Arabic NLP, ESG reporting, and workforce upskilling. The entrepreneur pathway enables foreign technologists to establish Saudi-based entities directly; accelerators and incubators—364 licensed as of mid-2025—can mitigate the risks associated with the first year by providing customer introductions and guidance on product-market fit. In turn, startups make foreign factories and service hubs more competitive regionally, helping parent companies justify additional waves of capex.
One Riyadh-based industrial AI founder described the flywheel candidly: “We built for a single multinational plant; six months later we were in four facilities across two cities.” That is what Greenfield looks like when it works: physical assets anchoring software demand, and software compressing time-to-productivity for physical assets.
Finally, Saudi Arabia’s greenfield story is not simply about large checks; it is about institution-building that converts checks into capacity, jobs, and exportable know-how. The 203 projects in H1-2025 document momentum; the RHQ numbers document commitment; the startup licensing and venture rebound document optionality. Together, they form the scaffolding of a non-oil economy that investors and founders can model around.
Challenges remain—predictability, inter-agency clarity, and global macro headwinds—but the direction of travel is unmistakable. As one policymaker put it on stage in Riyadh late last year, the Kingdom is “resilient and investable” even as it manages near-term oil and fiscal variables. For greenfield investors and the startups that orbit them, the actionable question is no longer if Saudi Arabia fits the strategy. It’s where—Riyadh, Dammam, Jeddah—and how fast.
